{"id":49397,"date":"2026-10-27T16:18:34","date_gmt":"2026-10-27T19:18:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/agenciainfra.com\/blog\/?p=49397"},"modified":"2026-10-27T17:46:23","modified_gmt":"2026-10-27T20:46:23","slug":"mineracao-apos-surpresa-nas-urnas-setor-ve-desafios-em-gestao-lula-4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/agenciainfra.com\/blog\/mineracao-apos-surpresa-nas-urnas-setor-ve-desafios-em-gestao-lula-4\/","title":{"rendered":"Minera\u00e7\u00e3o: Ap\u00f3s \u2018surpresa\u2019 nas urnas, setor v\u00ea desafios em gest\u00e3o Lula 4"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"has-text-align-right wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Rafael Bitencourt, da Ag\u00eancia iNFRA<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Embalado por expectativas do mercado com a vit\u00f3ria de Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro (PL) na corrida eleitoral, o setor de minera\u00e7\u00e3o precisou revisar a estrat\u00e9gia de atua\u00e7\u00e3o no campo pol\u00edtico nos pr\u00f3ximos quatro anos ap\u00f3s a \u201csurpresa\u201d da reelei\u00e7\u00e3o do presidente Lula para o seu quarto mandato, informaram fontes \u00e0 <strong>Ag\u00eancia iNFRA<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Mesmo com a chancela das urnas, a gest\u00e3o Lula 4 governar\u00e1 o pa\u00eds \u201csob um Congresso mais \u00e0 direita e um ambiente institucional tensionado\u201d, disse, em nota, o presidente do Conselho ABPM (Associa\u00e7\u00e3o Brasileira das Empresas de Pesquisa Mineral e Minera\u00e7\u00e3o), Lu\u00eds Maur\u00edcio Azevedo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A associa\u00e7\u00e3o ressalta que o governo ter\u00e1 na pr\u00f3xima legislatura uma \u201cbase mais vol\u00e1til\u201d do que a observada no terceiro mandato. Ele menciona que, a partir de fevereiro, o PL, principal partido de oposi\u00e7\u00e3o, ter\u00e1 121 deputados e 29 senadores \u2013 esta \u00faltima, \u201ca maior bancada\u201d do Senado desde 1988.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Para Azevedo, a perman\u00eancia de Lula \u00e0 frente das decis\u00f5es \u201cgarante continuidade da orienta\u00e7\u00e3o do Executivo para a minera\u00e7\u00e3o\u201d dentro da constru\u00e7\u00e3o das pol\u00edticas p\u00fablicas. Ele avalia que isso garante o prosseguimento da <a href=\"https:\/\/agenciainfra.com\/blog\/ala-do-governo-quer-regulamentar-minerais-criticos-em-2026-apesar-das-eleicoes\/\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/agenciainfra.com\/blog\/ala-do-governo-quer-regulamentar-minerais-criticos-em-2026-apesar-das-eleicoes\/\">regulamenta\u00e7\u00e3o<\/a> da rec\u00e9m aprovada Pol\u00edtica Nacional de Minerais Cr\u00edticos e Estrat\u00e9gicos (Lei 15.506\/2026), \u201ce n\u00e3o uma nova lei ou eventual revoga\u00e7\u00e3o, como chegou a se prever\u201d, em caso de vit\u00f3ria do advers\u00e1rio.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Na linha de continuidade, a ABPM projeta que n\u00e3o deve mudar o \u201cconceito de soberania sobre recursos, prioridade ao beneficiamento [dos recursos minerais] no pa\u00eds e uso de incentivos condicionados a contrapartidas\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Efeito imediato<\/strong><br>A ABPM informou que a minera\u00e7\u00e3o lida com alguns efeitos imediatos causados pela frustra\u00e7\u00e3o do mercado com o resultado das urnas, que havia precificado a vit\u00f3ria de Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro. \u201cO real mais fraco melhora margens de exportadores e reduz, em d\u00f3lar, o custo de projetos com despesas em reais. Em contrapartida, pr\u00eamio de risco e juros mais altos encarecem o financiamento local e tornam o capital de risco mais seletivo\u201d, ressaltou.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">De acordo com Lu\u00eds Azevedo, o \u201cimpacto maior\u201d neste momento recai sobre as \u201cjuniors [mineradoras menores] e projetos pr\u00e9-operacionais, que dependem de capta\u00e7\u00e3o\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u2018Manter di\u00e1logo\u2019<\/strong><br>Pablo Ces\u00e1rio, diretor-presidente interino do Ibram (Instituto Brasileiro de Minera\u00e7\u00e3o), destacou em nota a expectativa otimista do setor com o atual momento. \u201cA ind\u00fastria da minera\u00e7\u00e3o vive um per\u00edodo de expans\u00e3o dos investimentos e das atividades empresariais e v\u00ea com otimismo as perspectivas para os pr\u00f3ximos anos. O setor re\u00fane condi\u00e7\u00f5es de gerar oportunidades e contribuir para um futuro de prosperidade para os brasileiros\u201d, ressaltou.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ces\u00e1rio mencionou ainda a oportunidade que o pa\u00eds tem de assumir uma \u201cposi\u00e7\u00e3o de lideran\u00e7a\u201d no mercado de minerais cr\u00edticos e disse que manter\u00e1 o di\u00e1logo com o governo em favor do desenvolvimento nacional.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Regula\u00e7\u00e3o transparente<\/strong><br>O diretor-executivo da AMC (Associa\u00e7\u00e3o de Minerais Cr\u00edticos), Frederico Bedran, refor\u00e7ou a apreens\u00e3o do setor com a regulamenta\u00e7\u00e3o da pol\u00edtica de minerais cr\u00edticos, que est\u00e1 sendo discutida internamente pelo governo. Isso envolve, segundo ele, os limites de atua\u00e7\u00e3o do <a href=\"https:\/\/agenciainfra.com\/blog\/governo-confirma-conselho-de-minerais-criticos-com-3-frentes-de-atuacao\/\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/agenciainfra.com\/blog\/governo-confirma-conselho-de-minerais-criticos-com-3-frentes-de-atuacao\/\">CIMCE <\/a>(Conselho Nacional para Industrializa\u00e7\u00e3o de Minerais Cr\u00edticos e Estrat\u00e9gicos), que foi criado pela nova lei.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201c\u00c9 importante n\u00e3o s\u00f3 uma pol\u00edtica, mas tamb\u00e9m uma regula\u00e7\u00e3o clara, transparente, com bases t\u00e9cnicas, em que de fato o mercado possa enxergar se o seu projeto vai ou n\u00e3o ser analisado pelo novo conselho e quais transa\u00e7\u00f5es [opera\u00e7\u00f5es societ\u00e1rias] ser\u00e3o submetidas a ele\u201d, destacou Bedran, em entrevista \u00e0 <strong>Ag\u00eancia iNFRA<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Royalties da minera\u00e7\u00e3o<\/strong><br>A Amig Brasil (Associa\u00e7\u00e3o Brasileira dos Munic\u00edpios Mineradores), que representa munic\u00edpios respons\u00e1veis por quase 90% da produ\u00e7\u00e3o mineral do pa\u00eds, ressaltou que a \u201cexpectativa \u00e9 que o novo mandato produza encaminhamentos concretos\u201d na agenda de trabalho do setor. Uma das principais preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es da entidade \u00e9 garantir a fiscaliza\u00e7\u00e3o das receitas minerais, especialmente no recolhimento de royalties \u2013 a Cfem (Compensa\u00e7\u00e3o Financeira pela Explora\u00e7\u00e3o Mineral).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Para a gest\u00e3o Lula 4, a Amig coloca \u201centre as prioridades\u201d a moderniza\u00e7\u00e3o do C\u00f3digo de Minera\u00e7\u00e3o, o estabelecimento de prazos de validade para as outorgas miner\u00e1rias, a retomada de concess\u00f5es inativas, a revis\u00e3o das al\u00edquotas da Cfem e o fortalecimento da ANM (Ag\u00eancia Nacional de Minera\u00e7\u00e3o).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>&#8216;Apartid\u00e1ria&#8217;<br><\/strong>O Ibram e a Amig ressaltaram, nos respectivos comunicados, que s\u00e3o entidades apartid\u00e1rias. Na semana passada, o presidente da Vale, Gustavo Pimenta, afirmou que estava <a href=\"https:\/\/agenciainfra.com\/blog\/vale-tem-boas-perspectivas-para-mineracao-com-flavio-e-lula-diz-ceo\/\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/agenciainfra.com\/blog\/vale-tem-boas-perspectivas-para-mineracao-com-flavio-e-lula-diz-ceo\/\">\u201canimado com as perspectivas\u201d<\/a> para minera\u00e7\u00e3o independentemente do resultado da elei\u00e7\u00e3o presidencial, pois os dois candidatos haviam assumido o compromisso em promover o desenvolvimento do setor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Rafael Bitencourt, da Ag\u00eancia iNFRA Embalado por expectativas do mercado com a vit\u00f3ria de Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro (PL) na corrida eleitoral, o setor de minera\u00e7\u00e3o precisou revisar a estrat\u00e9gia de atua\u00e7\u00e3o no campo pol\u00edtico nos pr\u00f3ximos quatro anos ap\u00f3s a \u201csurpresa\u201d da reelei\u00e7\u00e3o do presidente Lula para o seu quarto mandato, informaram fontes \u00e0 Ag\u00eancia iNFRA. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":43172,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7250],"tags":[16515,18661,20757,3652,16167,13463,11612,20135,22163,22444,18250,16608,13813,14679],"class_list":["post-49397","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-destaque-lista","tag-abpm-associacao-brasileira-de-empresas-de-pesquisa-mineral-e-mineracao","tag-amc-associacao-de-minerais-criticos-2","tag-anm-agencia-nacional-de-mineracao","tag-codigo-de-mineracao","tag-eleicoes-2026","tag-frederico-bedran-oliveira","tag-gustavo-pimenta","tag-ibram-instituto-brasileiro-de-mineracao","tag-lei-15-506-2026","tag-luis-mauricio-azevedo-2","tag-pablo-cesario","tag-pnmce-politica-nacional-de-minerais-criticos-e-estrategicos","tag-rafael-bitencourt","tag-vale-s-a"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v25.4 (Yoast SEO v28.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Minera\u00e7\u00e3o: Ap\u00f3s \u2018surpresa\u2019 nas urnas, setor v\u00ea desafios em gest\u00e3o Lula 4 - Ag\u00eancia iNFRA<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/agenciainfra.com\/blog\/mineracao-apos-surpresa-nas-urnas-setor-ve-desafios-em-gestao-lula-4\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_BR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Minera\u00e7\u00e3o: Ap\u00f3s \u2018surpresa\u2019 nas urnas, setor v\u00ea desafios em gest\u00e3o Lula 4\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Rafael Bitencourt, da Ag\u00eancia iNFRA Embalado por expectativas do mercado com a vit\u00f3ria de Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro (PL) na corrida eleitoral, o setor de minera\u00e7\u00e3o precisou revisar a estrat\u00e9gia de atua\u00e7\u00e3o no campo pol\u00edtico nos pr\u00f3ximos quatro anos ap\u00f3s a \u201csurpresa\u201d da reelei\u00e7\u00e3o do presidente Lula para o seu quarto mandato, informaram fontes \u00e0 Ag\u00eancia iNFRA. 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