{"id":49561,"date":"2026-10-30T12:53:12","date_gmt":"2026-10-30T15:53:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/agenciainfra.com\/blog\/?p=49561"},"modified":"2026-10-30T12:53:14","modified_gmt":"2026-10-30T15:53:14","slug":"pde-biocombustiveis-devem-receber-r-142-bi-em-investimentos-ate-2036","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/agenciainfra.com\/blog\/pde-biocombustiveis-devem-receber-r-142-bi-em-investimentos-ate-2036\/","title":{"rendered":"PDE: biocombust\u00edveis devem receber R$ 142 bi em investimentos at\u00e9 2036"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"has-text-align-right wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Ana Lu\u00edsa Egues, da Ag\u00eancia iNFRA<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O segmento de biocombust\u00edveis deve receber R$ 142 bilh\u00f5es em investimentos entre 2027 e 2036,&nbsp;segundo estimativas do Caderno de Biocombust\u00edveis e Combust\u00edveis Sint\u00e9ticos do PDE (Plano Decenal de Energia) 2036.&nbsp;O documento foi divulgado pelo MME (Minist\u00e9rio de Minas e Energia) e pela EPE (Empresa de Pesquisa Energ\u00e9tica) na quinta-feira (29).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">De acordo com as proje\u00e7\u00f5es,&nbsp;a oferta brasileira de etanol deve crescer 2,5% ao ano na pr\u00f3xima d\u00e9cada,&nbsp;saltando de 41,6 bilh\u00f5es para 53,1 bilh\u00f5es de litros,&nbsp;impulsionada pelo etanol de milho,&nbsp;que responder\u00e1 por 40% desse volume ao final do per\u00edodo.&nbsp;J\u00e1 a demanda por biodiesel deve alcan\u00e7ar 14,7 bilh\u00f5es de litros em 2036.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Os projetos de SAF (combust\u00edvel sustent\u00e1vel de avia\u00e7\u00e3o,&nbsp;na sigla em ingl\u00eas) e diesel verde devem receber cerca de R$ 39 bilh\u00f5es,&nbsp;enquanto R$ 31,1 bilh\u00f5es devem ser investidos em biometano.&nbsp;Outros R$ 25,3 bilh\u00f5es devem ser aportados em etanol de milho e outros cereais,&nbsp;e R$ 24,1 bilh\u00f5es na forma\u00e7\u00e3o de canaviais,&nbsp;segundo o estudo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Etanol hidratado e etanol de milho<\/strong><br>O etanol de cana-de-a\u00e7\u00facar manter\u00e1 participa\u00e7\u00e3o relevante no fim do horizonte,\u00a0de cerca de 60% da oferta,\u00a0enquanto o etanol de milho seguir\u00e1 em expans\u00e3o,\u00a0com amplia\u00e7\u00f5es e novas unidades que acrescentam,\u00a0ao todo,\u00a09,6 bilh\u00f5es de litros de capacidade.\u00a0Por sua vez,\u00a0a produ\u00e7\u00e3o de E2G (etanol de segunda gera\u00e7\u00e3o) dever\u00e1 alcan\u00e7ar 600 milh\u00f5es de litros em 2036.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A demanda total de etanol dever\u00e1 atingir 50,7 bilh\u00f5es de litros em 2036,&nbsp;considerando a mistura obrigat\u00f3ria de 30% de etanol anidro na gasolina C.&nbsp;O etanol hidratado ganhar\u00e1 competitividade frente \u00e0 gasolina,&nbsp;impulsionado pelos sinais do RenovaBio e pelos ganhos de produtividade do setor.&nbsp;O estudo tamb\u00e9m prev\u00ea demanda de cerca de tr\u00eas bilh\u00f5es de litros de etanol para a produ\u00e7\u00e3o de SAF e para os usos aquavi\u00e1rio e na avia\u00e7\u00e3o agropecu\u00e1ria,&nbsp;al\u00e9m de exporta\u00e7\u00f5es l\u00edquidas de 2,4 bilh\u00f5es de litros.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Biodiesel e biometano<\/strong><br>A demanda mandat\u00f3ria de biodiesel dever\u00e1 chegar a 12,7 bilh\u00f5es de litros em 2036,\u00a0com o teor obrigat\u00f3rio de 15% no diesel B.\u00a0Somados os usos volunt\u00e1rios,\u00a0a demanda total dever\u00e1 alcan\u00e7ar 14,7 bilh\u00f5es de litros no fim do horizonte decenal.\u00a0O caderno inclui ainda uma an\u00e1lise de sensibilidade para misturas entre 13% e 25%,\u00a0limites m\u00ednimo e m\u00e1ximo previstos na Lei do Combust\u00edvel do Futuro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">No biometano,&nbsp;a meta de descarboniza\u00e7\u00e3o do setor de g\u00e1s natural,&nbsp;fixada em 0,5% para 2026,&nbsp;poder\u00e1 chegar a 10% em 2036,&nbsp;limite previsto na lei.&nbsp;O estudo indica que a capacidade autorizada e em autoriza\u00e7\u00e3o pela ANP (Ag\u00eancia Nacional do Petr\u00f3leo,&nbsp;G\u00e1s Natural e Biocombust\u00edveis) garante o atendimento da demanda mandat\u00f3ria at\u00e9 2029 e que o alcance da meta em 2036 exigir\u00e1 cerca de 8,5 milh\u00f5es de metros c\u00fabicos por dia de capacidade adicional.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>SAF e captura de carbono biog\u00eanico<\/strong><br>Com o in\u00edcio da fase obrigat\u00f3ria do Corsia (Esquema de Compensa\u00e7\u00e3o e Redu\u00e7\u00e3o de Carbono para a Avia\u00e7\u00e3o Internacional,\u00a0na sigla em ingl\u00eas) e das metas do ProBioQAV (Programa Nacional de Combust\u00edvel Sustent\u00e1vel de Avia\u00e7\u00e3o) em 2027,\u00a0os projetos de SAF anunciados no pa\u00eds dever\u00e3o produzir 1,7 bilh\u00e3o de litros por ano a partir de 2030 e 3,6 bilh\u00f5es de litros em 2036.\u00a0Entre 2027 e 2036,\u00a0esses projetos atendem,\u00a0em m\u00e9dia,\u00a0a 76% das metas de redu\u00e7\u00e3o de emiss\u00f5es definidas pelo Corsia e pelo ProBioQAV.\u00a0O caderno estima ainda uma produ\u00e7\u00e3o de 850 milh\u00f5es de litros de diesel verde em 2036.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O estudo destaca o potencial do BECCS (captura e armazenamento de carbono biog\u00eanico,&nbsp;na sigla em ingl\u00eas) no Brasil:&nbsp;a fermenta\u00e7\u00e3o alco\u00f3lica gerou 26,5 milh\u00f5es de toneladas de CO\u2082 biog\u00eanico de alta pureza em 2025,&nbsp;volume que pode chegar a 38,4 milh\u00f5es de toneladas em 2036.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Consulta p\u00fablica<\/strong><br>A consulta p\u00fablica do PDE 2036 est\u00e1 aberta at\u00e9 a pr\u00f3xima sexta-feira (6).\u00a0Interessados podem consultar os estudos e encaminhar contribui\u00e7\u00f5es para o aprimoramento do planejamento energ\u00e9tico nacional.\u00a0Elaborado anualmente pela EPE,\u00a0sob diretrizes do MME,\u00a0o PDE apresenta,\u00a0com base em um cen\u00e1rio de refer\u00eancia,\u00a0perspectivas para a evolu\u00e7\u00e3o da oferta e da demanda de energia.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ana Lu\u00edsa Egues, da Ag\u00eancia iNFRA O segmento de biocombust\u00edveis deve receber R$ 142 bilh\u00f5es em investimentos entre 2027 e 2036,&nbsp;segundo estimativas do Caderno de Biocombust\u00edveis e Combust\u00edveis Sint\u00e9ticos do PDE (Plano Decenal de Energia) 2036.&nbsp;O documento foi divulgado pelo MME (Minist\u00e9rio de Minas e Energia) e pela EPE (Empresa de Pesquisa Energ\u00e9tica) na quinta-feira [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":35951,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7250],"tags":[21677,2474,2731,5596,3361,8287,12,2732,14085,71,22154,5202,5204],"class_list":["post-49561","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-destaque-lista","tag-ana-luisa-egues","tag-biocombustiveis","tag-biodiesel","tag-biometano","tag-descarbonizacao","tag-diesel-verde","tag-epe","tag-etanol","tag-lei-do-combustivel-do-futuro","tag-mme","tag-pde-2036","tag-renovabio","tag-saf"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v25.4 (Yoast SEO v28.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>PDE: biocombust\u00edveis devem receber R$ 142 bi em investimentos at\u00e9 2036 - Ag\u00eancia iNFRA<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" 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