{"id":49638,"date":"2026-11-03T17:16:04","date_gmt":"2026-11-03T20:16:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/agenciainfra.com\/blog\/?p=49638"},"modified":"2026-11-03T17:40:42","modified_gmt":"2026-11-03T20:40:42","slug":"bruno-dantas-as-concessoes-e-a-revisao-de-2027","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/agenciainfra.com\/blog\/bruno-dantas-as-concessoes-e-a-revisao-de-2027\/","title":{"rendered":"Bruno Dantas | As concess\u00f5es e a revis\u00e3o de 2027"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"has-text-align-right wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Bruno Dantas*, colunista da Ag\u00eancia iNFRA<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Em 1910, no caso dos bondes de Marselha, o Conselho de Estado franc\u00eas reconheceu \u00e0 administra\u00e7\u00e3o o poder de impor ao concession\u00e1rio um servi\u00e7o mais amplo do que o previsto no contrato. Nas conclus\u00f5es que orientaram a decis\u00e3o, o comiss\u00e1rio de governo L\u00e9on Blum descreveu toda concess\u00e3o como, em certo sentido, uma equa\u00e7\u00e3o financeira, uma &#8220;equival\u00eancia honesta&#8221; entre o que se concede ao concession\u00e1rio e o que dele se exige. Se essa equa\u00e7\u00e3o fosse rompida, o concession\u00e1rio poderia pedir indeniza\u00e7\u00e3o ao juiz do contrato.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O direito brasileiro herdou essa ideia, que em 2027 ser\u00e1 testada em escala in\u00e9dita: dois atos do Estado alcan\u00e7ar\u00e3o a mesma equa\u00e7\u00e3o ao mesmo tempo, a redu\u00e7\u00e3o da jornada de trabalho e a troca dos tributos sobre o consumo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Os contratos de concess\u00e3o em vigor foram modelados com a jornada de 44 horas semanais. Ao reduzi-la para 40, a Emenda Constitucional 141 alterou um par\u00e2metro central do seu custo e deu doze meses para o aditivo de reequil\u00edbrio nas concess\u00f5es e PPPs (Parcerias P\u00fablico-Privadas) com emprego direto de m\u00e3o de obra. O prazo vence em outubro de 2027, ano em que a CBS passa a ser cobrada de fato no lugar do PIS e da Cofins, com reequil\u00edbrio igualmente assegurado pelo art. 374 da Lei Complementar 214\/2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Os dois atos s\u00e3o o que a literatura do Direito Administrativo qualifica como &#8220;fatos do pr\u00edncipe&#8221;, e quem suporta o risco j\u00e1 est\u00e1 definido: a recomposi\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e9 devida, como recomenda tamb\u00e9m a OCDE (Organiza\u00e7\u00e3o para a Coopera\u00e7\u00e3o e Desenvolvimento Econ\u00f4mico) sempre que as condi\u00e7\u00f5es de uma parceria mudam por decis\u00e3o de pol\u00edtica p\u00fablica. A dificuldade est\u00e1 em medir o impacto quando os dois choques atingem a mesma planilha. A folha de pagamento entra nos dois c\u00e1lculos. Entra no da jornada, porque a mesma cobertura exige mais pessoal, e no tribut\u00e1rio, porque sal\u00e1rios n\u00e3o geram cr\u00e9dito de CBS e IBS.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Em opera\u00e7\u00f5es cont\u00ednuas, como pra\u00e7as de ped\u00e1gio, centros de controle e esta\u00e7\u00f5es de tratamento, a jornada de 40 horas exige cerca de 10% mais pessoal para preencher a mesma escala. Nesses contratos, os dois pedidos chegar\u00e3o juntos. Examinados em separado, tendem a produzir erro, seja compensando duas vezes o mesmo efeito, seja deixando parte dele sem compensa\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Uma equival\u00eancia, por\u00e9m, pode se romper nos dois sentidos. A n\u00e3o cumulatividade plena pode reduzir a carga efetiva de concession\u00e1rias que hoje acumulam res\u00edduos de PIS, Cofins e ICMS, e o art. 374 n\u00e3o distingue o sentido do desequil\u00edbrio. Nesses casos, a recomposi\u00e7\u00e3o favorece o usu\u00e1rio, em tarifa menor, investimento adicional ou prazo reduzido. Esse efeito n\u00e3o chegar\u00e1 \u00e0s ag\u00eancias na forma de pleito, porque nenhuma empresa pede revis\u00e3o contra si mesma.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Por isso a regra precisa anteceder os pedidos. Oliver Williamson mostrou que o custo de completar contratos incompletos depende das regras dispon\u00edveis quando o imprevisto chega, e a experi\u00eancia internacional d\u00e1 a medida desse custo. Nos epis\u00f3dios estudados pelo FMI (Fundo Monet\u00e1rio Internacional), a materializa\u00e7\u00e3o de passivos ligados a PPPs custou ao Tesouro, em m\u00e9dia, cerca de 1,2% do PIB (Produto Interno Bruto).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A resposta brasileira pode ser uma metodologia \u00fanica, publicada por cada ag\u00eancia antes da onda de pedidos, que trate os dois choques como uma s\u00f3 revis\u00e3o da equa\u00e7\u00e3o. Ela deve definir como apurar o custo da jornada e a carga tribut\u00e1ria efetiva, em que ordem os c\u00e1lculos se combinam e em que condi\u00e7\u00f5es cabe recomposi\u00e7\u00e3o provis\u00f3ria. E deve autorizar a revis\u00e3o de of\u00edcio quando os n\u00fameros indicarem ganho do concession\u00e1rio, para que o lado da equa\u00e7\u00e3o que nenhum pleito trar\u00e1 tamb\u00e9m seja examinado.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Com a regra publicada, a negocia\u00e7\u00e3o com cada concession\u00e1ria passa a girar em torno dos dados do contrato, e os acordos podem ser conduzidos pelas pr\u00f3prias ag\u00eancias, com a media\u00e7\u00e3o do TCU reservada aos casos que atravessam setores. O tempo para isso \u00e9 curto. Metodologias publicadas no primeiro trimestre de 2027 ainda permitem restabelecer a equa\u00e7\u00e3o de que falava Blum com um \u00fanico crit\u00e9rio para os dois choques. Publicadas depois, obrigar\u00e3o cada ag\u00eancia a escrever a regra enquanto julga os casos que ela deveria orientar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>*<strong>Bruno Dantas<\/strong><\/strong> \u00e9 jurista, empres\u00e1rio e advogado, s\u00f3cio s\u00eanior da Fides Global Consulting e ministro em\u00e9rito do TCU (Tribunal de Contas da Uni\u00e3o). Presidiu o TCU e a Intosai, e integrou o Conselho de Auditores das Na\u00e7\u00f5es Unidas. Doutor e mestre em Direito pela PUC-SP, foi Hauser Senior Global Fellow na NYU School of Law e pesquisador visitante no Institut de Recherche Juridique da Sorbonne. \u00c9 professor do doutorado e do mestrado em Direito da Regula\u00e7\u00e3o da FGV Direito Rio.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-luminous-vivid-orange-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-1 wp-block-paragraph\">As opini\u00f5es dos autores n\u00e3o refletem necessariamente o pensamento da<strong> Ag\u00eancia iNFRA<\/strong>, sendo de total responsabilidade do autor as informa\u00e7\u00f5es, ju\u00edzos de valor e conceitos descritos no texto.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bruno Dantas*, colunista da Ag\u00eancia iNFRA Em 1910, no caso dos bondes de Marselha, o Conselho de Estado franc\u00eas reconheceu \u00e0 administra\u00e7\u00e3o o poder de impor ao concession\u00e1rio um servi\u00e7o mais amplo do que o previsto no contrato. Nas conclus\u00f5es que orientaram a decis\u00e3o, o comiss\u00e1rio de governo L\u00e9on Blum descreveu toda concess\u00e3o como, em [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":49648,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[22139,10040],"tags":[396,78,10458,406,1938,1730],"class_list":["post-49638","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-colunistas","category-opiniao","tag-bruno-dantas","tag-concessoes","tag-jornada-de-trabalho","tag-ppps","tag-reequilibrio","tag-reforma-tributaria"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v25.4 (Yoast SEO v28.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bruno Dantas | As concess\u00f5es e a revis\u00e3o de 2027 - Ag\u00eancia iNFRA<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/agenciainfra.com\/blog\/bruno-dantas-as-concessoes-e-a-revisao-de-2027\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_BR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bruno Dantas | As concess\u00f5es e a revis\u00e3o de 2027\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bruno Dantas*, colunista da Ag\u00eancia iNFRA Em 1910, no caso dos bondes de Marselha, o Conselho de Estado franc\u00eas reconheceu \u00e0 administra\u00e7\u00e3o o poder de impor ao concession\u00e1rio um servi\u00e7o mais amplo do que o previsto no contrato. 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